By Christopher M Peeks September 30, 2024
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CNN data reporter Harry Enten cautioned on Monday that Vice President Kamala Harris was set to experience the poorest Democratic performance among union voters in a generation.
https://www.tobsal.com/post/trump-surging-in-the-polls-as-a-vital-part-of-the-democratic-base-abando
"Sometimes there are data points that just jump off the screen, should set off sirens. Alright, this is union households. This is the Democratic margin in the presidential election. It ain‘t what it used to be," Enten began. "Bill Clinton won that union vote by 30 points. Hillary Clinton only won it by 12 points back in 2016. That was the lowest mark for a Democrat since 1984, Mondale vs. Reagan. But look at where Kamala Harris is today. She is only leading by nine points."
In November 2020, Enten confidently reported that President Biden held a significant +19 lead among union household voters."That would be the worst. Democratic performance in a generation. Ten points off the mark of Joe Biden, who won four years ago, was that union guy, union Joe, right?" he said of Harris' numbers.
https://www.tobsal.com/post/one-in-four-black-men-under-50-back-trump-for-president-naacp-poll-finds
Let's not forget what Enten mentioned about the voters who have gone to trade or vocational schools. "Look at this margin, this to me, oh boy, does this tell you about the state of our politics now vs back in the early 1990s, margin among vocational and trade school grads in pre-election polling. Bill Clinton was the one to lead the vote over George H.W. Bush by seven points. Look at where Donald Trump is today, over Kamala Harris, a 31-point advantage," Enten said.
The Teamsters labor union, a historically influential organization, made headlines when it recently declared that it would not be endorsing a specific candidate for the upcoming presidential election. This decision is particularly noteworthy given the union's track record of supporting Democratic candidates in nearly every election since 1988, when it notably endorsed George H.W. Bush. Additionally, the union also refrained from endorsing a candidate in the 1996 election, further emphasizing the significance of its current stance.
"When I think people think of the working class, they think of people who use their hands. And we know that Donald Trump has been going after that vote, and he is in a powerful position, perhaps more so than any other bloc. The folks who go to trade school and vocational school have moved from being a core Democratic group to now being a core group of Donald Trump‘s massive amount of support among the working class," Enten said.
The data reporter also pointed out that Trump had made gains among non-college voters of color, although Harris still maintained the overall lead among this group.
"So this is the margin among non-college graduates, all right, the voters of color. You go back four years ago and look at that: Biden won that group with 45 points. Look at where Kamala Harris‘ support is today; she‘s still leading amongst that group, but that lead is down 17 points to just 28 points," he said.
"The reason Donald Trump is doing so well amongst voters of color is that he has gone in and grabbed a lot of voters that he didn‘t previously have among those who didn‘t graduate college. And this is part of a larger trend that we’re seeing throughout our political era in which Republicans, specifically Donald Trump, are doing very, very well among working-class voters, whether they're in unions, whether they went to trade school, or whether they’re voters of color," Enten added.
With five weeks to the voters are mobile to Trump.
C-Hannah Panreck Fox News
Christopher M Peeks
Reporter and Columnist
Alabama Political Contributor
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