By Christopher M Peeks September 30, 2024
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For the last two months, the mainstream media has attempted to plant a false image in the minds of voters. Like an oasis in the desert, the Democratic faithful looked at Vice President Harris as if they thirsted for water. Although the aggregate numbers show the race as tied in the battlegrounds, a pattern has emerged in a few key states. The outcome is far from certain, but this is a troubling sign for the Harris supporters.
https://www.tobsal.com/post/trump-momentum-builds-as-new-poll-shows-him-leading-harris-in-five-of-se
In Georgia, Trump leads Harris by 1.4% in the aggregate poll average, and in the last eleven polls, he is ahead of the Vice President in six of them. Harris comes out on top in three, but one of them is the far-left Bloomberg organisation that historically favours Democrats, and in the other two, they are tied. Likewise, the last eleven North Carolina polls show Trump as victorious in six, Harris triumphant in three, and they are tied in the other two, including the one from Bloomberg. Trump's aggregate margin, however, is smaller at 0.7%.
https://www.tobsal.com/post/trump-surging-in-the-polls-as-a-vital-part-of-the-democratic-base-abando
In front 2% in the averages, Arizona is materialising as Trump's most robust battleground state as ten out of the last eleven polls show him outpacing Harris—her sole win coming from Bloomberg.
https://www.tobsal.com/post/a-michigan-senatorial-candidate-paints-grim-picture-for-the-harris-campa
Lastly, in what many pundits see as a must-win if Harris is to capture the white house, the poll of polls puts Trump up by 0.2%. Although razor close, Trump finished first in four, versus Harris's two, the other being from Bloomberg. The remaining six have them tied.
Going down the stretch, the two candidates continue to seesaw as the Keystone state once again returns to Trump's column, making him the odds-on favourite to win the electoral college. As of today, Trump is projected to capture 287 electoral votes, thus being the second president to serve two non-consecutive terms. The other is Grover Cleveland.
With only 36 days to go, the electoral map favours Donald Trump. With that being said, this race is a coin toss, and the only poll that matters is on election day.
Christopher M Peeks
Reporter and Columnist
Alabama Political Contributor
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